Stress Test Results

It was announced today that the results of the bank stress test will be released on May 7th. Which might be a good thing for investors and traders who are looking at some more gains this week. The stock markets have been relatively flat today on light volume.
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I’ve been holding on to some of the positions waiting for some sort of sign of a pull back to come. With the news of the stress test coming out on Monday, I was planning to sell out of the remaining positions today, but with the news being pushed back three days, I just might wait till Tuesday.
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One company I’m looking to jump out of is Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (NYSE:KMP). The stock has jumped over 15% the beginning of March. Why I’m waiting to exit the stock is because of the 10% yield I will receive on the dividend. The ex-date is today at the close of the trading day. I feel that it’s been stuck at a resistance level and has stalled. I’m up nicely and will get back in when the markets pull back, taking KMP’s price down along with it.
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I feel that the stress test are going to be negative for the nineteen banks, why else would they delay the results. Of course we should have known they would be for the simple fact of the guidelines put in place by the government. The banks won’t be allowed to count the preferred assets to the bottom line. Without those assets counted, the government will claim that the banks are not well capitalized. If they are considered not well capitalized, the government will not allow them to give back the bailout money, letting the government have some say in what they banks policies and procedures are.
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Keep in mind that the markets have moved up well over 20% in the last two months. We are not out of the woods yet when it comes to the economy. So be prepared for a healthy pull back in the indicies.
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Have a great weekend and happy trading.

Tags: Economy, Getting Started In The Stock Market, Stock market for beginners, Stock market news, Stock trading

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Momentum In The Stock Market

This past week has been great for profits in the stock market, but only if you get out before the momentum stops and the prices come back down from the profit takers. After the DOW fell below 7000 in the last month, there hasn’t been much of a bright side to making money in the markets unless you’ve been shorting stocks. Of course of you don’t have a margin account, you’re not able to short stocks.
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In the past week there has been great gains a many of the stocks that were beaten up during the fall of the DOW. The only way for you to hold on to those gains is to sell. If you don’t take your profits, then you didn’t gain anything if the prices fall again.
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With what’s going on in Washington, it stands to reason that the upward movement that we’ve just experienced in this week, is just a temporary one. Capitalism is under fire with all the spending that is going on in the government. Many companies are laying off people and it will continue throughout the rest of this year. Even though Caterpillar has announced today that they will be hiring back many of the 2,400 employees that were recently laid off, there are other companies that are not in the same position as them. Caterpillar will be involved in many of the infrastructure contracts that will be created by the stimulus bill.
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If didn’t get into Caterpillar when it fell below $22, then you missed out on some of the great gains that the stock has made. It’s not too late to buy into Caterpillar even at the $26 range. I expect good things for the stock over the next year.
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As for other stocks that have made some good moves over the last week, Sirius XM Radio has moved from their recent low of $0.05 in the latter part of February to where it sits now at $0.3362 per share. I’ve talked about Sirius in the past and still favor the company to come back from their near extinction. With it great move of 43% just today, I will be taking some profits and look to get back in on a pull-back.
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Remember to be aware that the turmoil is far from over and there will be pull-backs on most of these stocks that have had momentum gains. Trade carefully and don’t be greedy.
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Happy Trading.

Tags: Buying penny stocks, Economy, Getting Started In The Stock Market, How to make fast money, Stock market for beginners, Stock trading

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Pork Barrel Spending Stimulus Package

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The stimulus package was passed last week and Wall Street is letting Washington know that they are not happy. Since the package was passed, the DOW has dropped nearly 500 basis points, reaching a twelve year low of 7077.35 and closing at 7114 on Monday.
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The current stimulus package will cost American tax payers $778 billion. That’s after they’ve cut out all the unnecessary spending that was originally in the plan. Unfortunately, the Democrats that control the House are now in the process of passing another bill that will add up to about $410 billion in what they are calling “needed to fill the gaps that the first stimulus package left out”.
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This administration has only been in office for one month and they have already passed bills that will spend more money than the previous one did in it’s last year. Something that this administration campaigned on not doing.
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All this spending is going to have to be covered by some sort of tax increase and the one that will be hit first will be the capitol gains tax. It presently sits at 15%, but as President Obama stated on the campaign trail is that he feels that it needs to be raised to 25%-30%. If that is to happen, then expect the stock market to drop well below the 7000 mark.
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As this administration start to show their true agenda for this country, Wall Street will have no choice but to pull out their money to avoid unnecessary tax burdens.
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As for the economy, it won’t be any better. How can a company increase their profits, as well as their work force, if they become more tax burdened. If a business can not make a good profit, it will not attract stock holders. It all ties into one another.
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For the last couple of months, I’ve only been trading stocks that have taken a beaten because of the market as a whole has dropped. I don’t have the confidence in the stock market any longer and will do what I can to pull out the capitol that I have out of it. I stated before that I don’t typically short stocks and in times like this it too doesn’t sound like a great idea, but in bad economies, it’s much easier to make a profit shorting stocks than it is to go long.
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Whatever you decide to do with your trades, be aware that this economic turmoil is far from over.

Tags: Economy, Government spending, Stock investments, Stock Market, Stock trading, Treasury Dept.

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Stock Market Technicals

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I’ve been warning many of my readers that the stock market will take a dive very soon and from the looks of the last few days, that time has come. If you look at stock market technicals, you are aware that the DOW at a level of 7550.00 is a level that would cause many sell-offs to happen.
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Today’s lows of the DOW was 7551.01, which came very close, but not to the point where the sell off would have occurred.
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I said it before and I’ll say it again, you need to keep plenty of money on the sidelines for times like these when the prices for stocks in good companies are at a great “sale” price. These companies are not damaged, just the stock prices are. You need to be ready to take advantage of these buying opportunities to help grow your portfolio during a bad economic down-turn.
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For those of you that have had patience over the last month or so, this just might be the time for you to jump in and build a good solid position in the companies that you’ve been watching. I’ve been holding back in jumping in with both feet and with the stock market down at these levels, it’s hard not to just dive in head first. Of course I won’t involve my emotions in the markets.
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Who knows where the markets will be in a month or two from now. Especially with the fact that Obama’s stimulus plan hasn’t really been accepted by Wall Street and Main Street. On the news of the plan being approved, the Dow has dropped quite a bit. The markets can hit that crucial level of 7550 and all bets will be off, the sell off will begin and it won’t stop until it get to about 7300 basis points. Then again it may just take back off to the 9000 level just like it did not too long ago.
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No matter what, the rest of 2009 is going to be a total washout and the only way to get your portfolio to grow is to make trades when the time is right and then get out while the getting is good. Either way the market may go either way over the next couple of days, you should keep an old saying in mind, ” hope for the best, but prepare for the worst”. This way you’ll be ready without being disappointed.

Tags: Diversified, Economy, Getting Started In The Stock Market, How to make fast money, Stock market for beginners, Stock market news, Stock trading, The Week Ahead

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The Stimulus Plan Doesn’t Stimulate Anything

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Well, it’s been three weeks since Obama has taken office and he’s already having a hell of a time trying to get his administration candidates approved as well as the stimulus package. To top it all off it seems that Wall Street along with Main Street have not confidence in the new President.
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The Dow had a horrible day today because of all the “politics as usual” mentality going on in Washington. The government laid out it plan for the financial bailout which basically told us nothing in regards to specifics. It seems that all that Tim Geithner told everyone was that the government will spend more than $1 trillion in private and public support, but really nothing else.
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Wall Street went on a selling spree to unload many stocks to take refuge in safer investment like gold and bonds. The DOW fell 382 points today which is over a 4.5% drop.
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The Treasury’s plan is to restore the credit markets. To work towards removing the bad assets from the bank’s books. They also state that it would help open the path for consumer and business loans. If it is anything like the first TARP plan, they know that they’re going to spend $1 trillion, but they have no clue as to how they’re going to spend it.
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All I got to say is that after last night press conference and today’s treasury announcement, they’re proving to me that this administration has no idea on how to fix this problem and take care of their lobbyist and other cronies at the same time. It’s sad to think that if they really wanted to end this nightmare of a recession, all they have to do is stop the federal spending, cut the taxes and the rest will take care of itself in a short period of time.
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Why would the government need to raise taxes if they aren’t spending as much money? If they have to cut jobs, so be it. If the corporate taxes were less along with payroll taxes, companies would be able to hire the people they would be laid off from the federal jobs that were cut to save on spending. I’m not a genius, but it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure that out. Go to any Ivory league college and ask an economic professor and they will tell you the same thing. The less they spend, the less they will need to raise taxes.
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As for the stock market, the DOW close at 7,888 and at this level it’s nothing but a buying opportunity for traders who are looking to a few good deals. Do your research and buy incrementally.
Happy trading.

Tags: Economy, Financials, Getting Started In The Stock Market, Government spending, How to make fast money, Investments, Stock market for beginners, Stock market news, Stock trading, Treasury Dept.

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A Bad Day In The Stock Market

A bad day in the stock market can turn out to be a great day the next. Then again there’s days like today that can show you that there’s more of these days to come. Either way, you need to be prepared for both.
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A great deal of bad news came out today that confirms that this slowdown as well as the financial crisis will continue for quite a few months. The news of the new homes sales showed that it’s dropped over 14% in November and compared to last year, it fell 44%. This news hit the construction sector for about 6%-8%.
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To add insult to injury, Initial jobless claims revealed a jump in claims to 588,000. I’m sure that we’ll see more numbers like that for the better part of 2009. In this week alone, we’ve heard of other major companies announcing that they too we be having lay-off in the coming months.
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To top it all off, we have this stimulus plan being passed around Washington that will do a lot for America, but not in the way of actually stimulating the economy. I spoke a few weeks back about the expected stimulus bill could mean great things for the alternative energy sector, amongst other things. Well it seems that this bill will not really do anything for the economy for roughly eighteen months. In the mean time, Washington will be going on a spending spree.
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With the way it’s all going in this country, I’ve pulled out nearly 90% of my capitol out of individual stocks and into more sound investments. I’m not even worried that I won’t make any really good gains because of me sitting on the sidelines, instead, I’ll be able to sleep at night better knowing that I won’t be experiencing any big losses. I’ll get back into the market later in the year.
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That doesn’t mean that I’m not continuing to do my research. I still watch and listen to the TV and radio to keep in touch with the latest news. It would be foolish for me to fall out of touch with the economy, but that doesn’t mean that I have to trade stocks. When I started to be interested in the stock market, I would listen to the news to understand the markets, long before I had money to invest. When I finally had the capitol to invest, I was more prepared.
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If you’re one of the many who’ve taken themselves out of trading because of the condition of the economy, make sure you keep up to date with everything for when you decide to jump back in.

Tags: Economy, Getting Started In The Stock Market, Investments, Stock market for beginners, Stock market news, Stock trading

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Stock Market Research Could Pay Off In The Coming ...

It’s only a couple of days before President Bush leaves office and Barack Obama takes over. Typically the stock market have improve to some extent when the new President takes charge, but what are we to expect when it’s Obama’s turn? If you follow this blog on a regular basis, you’d know that doing some stock market research will help you prepare for what’s to come in the next month.
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Obama has been working on his stimulus plan for when he takes office. He’s spoken about the infrastructure needs to stimulate the economy. When a politician talks about infrastructure, he basically is referring to roads, public transportation and things of that nature. It seems that Obama’s plan is more in line to boost the green energy sector to help remove our dependency of foreign oil and to reduse green house gases.
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If that’s the case, then we need to focus on some stocks that could benefit from that type of stimulus plan. From what I can tell he hasn’t really spoken to T.Boone Pickins for some advice on what this country needs to do to remove that dependency. I’m incline to think that Natural gas may not be something the Obama is looking towards to help that along. I will say though that Natural gas has made some nice gains in the last week or two. I have been invested in natural gas for sometime and have prospered from those gains and taken some profits in it, but I do hold some interest in a company that should continue to grow.
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What about solar, wind and nuclear energy? I think in each of these areas that there are some stocks that will benefit from the stimulus plan that will most likely pass once Obama is in office. My advice is to look at the leaders of each of those areas and do your research to see if they can make some gains from the plan.
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The only stock that I will recommend at this time would be a company that I’ve spoken about before on this blog. The company has basically bottomed in the last month or so and I have jumped in and out of it a few times with some good gains.
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The company is Quanta Services Inc. This company will prosper from the plan in couple of different ways. It’s a infrastructure construction company that focuses on alternative energy. It has a strong balance sheet as well as some good guidance for the coming quarter and fiscal year. It’s presence in the alternative energy sector is also strong.
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As always, I will tell you to do your own research to see if this trade is right for you. Later this week I’ll have another suggestion for you portfolio.
Happy trading.

Tags: Alternative energy, Getting Started In The Stock Market, How to make fast money, Stock market for beginners, Stock trading

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Investing Mistakes To Watch In 2009

Hello everyone. Are you ready for 2009? Now that we can put 2008 behind us and hopefully all the issues that went along with it, let’s get to some good trading for the new year. Like last year we want to limit the investing mistakes that can easily happen if you’re not careful. So let’s look at what we can avoid to help us in the new year.

The number one mistake that people make and if you were one of the millions that lost money last year, you just might be thinking of doing this. The biggest mistake that you can do is to not invest at all. Sitting on the sidelines watching it happen while no investing is number one mistake. Even if you can invest $20 a week, it’s better than nothing at all.

The longer you put off investing, the less you’ll have when it’s time to retire. Of course you have to have your current financial situation in order, but once that’s done, you have no excuse not to be investing.

Another mistake that people make when investing is they try to get rich quick. Let’s get one thing straight, trying to get rich quick is not investing, it’s gambling. If you want to gamble, go to Vegas. Investing is a long time strategy not a quick fix approach to financial security.

Mistake number three is putting all of your eggs in one basket. If you want to invest, you need to spread the capital around in different areas of the markets as well as different vehicles (i.e. stocks, bonds, CDs etc.). Doing so will help keep you from losing any of you money in one big sweep. Stocks and other types of investment vehicles will go up and down, but not all of them will go in the same direction at once.

Collectibles are not investments. Yes, the first issue of Spiderman is worth a lot of money, but it won’t grow all that much in the future. Don’t expect to sell it to help your kids through college.

I hope that these tips will help you in the coming year. Be patient and happy trading.

Tags: Diversified, Getting Started In The Stock Market, Help, Stock market for beginners, Stock trading

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Federal Reserve Interest Rates Rallies The Stock M...

Finally after a year of looking like he knows nothing, Ben Bernanke takes drastic measures to get the economy back on track. The Federal Reserve interest rates have been lowered to it’s lowest in history. The benchmark interest rate has been lowered to zero to 0.25%, making it easier and cheaper to borrow money and pay their mortgages.
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With the Fed’s actions, the stock market rallied like it had no sign of a lack of confidence. The DOW gained 4.2%, and the NASDAQ and the S&P 500 over 5%. It’s a clear sign that they (Federal Reserve) is willing to do anything and everything to avoid a depression. Investors pumped capital into the markets right after the announcement was made shortly after 2:00pm Tuesday.
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Several banks have lowered their prime lending rates to 3.25% and it look like more will follow in the coming days. It’s now a matter of people (who still have fears of the economy), are willing to borrow money and take on more debt.
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The only bad thing about the rate being lowered to these levels is that there is no where else to go. The Federal Reserve has always had the power of cutting the interest rate as a tool against economic troubles. At this point though I would think that unless World War III was to break out, the worst of the problems are behind us.
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I’ve felt that Ben Bernanke has always been behind the curve when it came to putting stability in the economy, but this move has shown that he’s finally up to speed with what needs to be done.
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This has been the sign I’ve been waiting for for me to get back in the stock market a lot more aggressively and I started doing that this week when many buying opportunities were available on Monday. If you were the many that have been doing your research and waiting on the sidelines, I suggest you start taking positions in those companies that you found attractive. I don’t recommend you going all in yet since there is that margin of the unexpected still there, but putting about 50% of your capital to work just might be the thing to do right now.
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Be patient and happy trading.

Tags: Economy, Federal Reserve, Investments, Stock market for beginners, Stock trading

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Perferred Stock

When the average trader buys and sells stock, it’s typically the common shares that are traded. As in the importance of the different types of ways of being a shareholder, Owners of common stocks are at the bottom of the ladder. In cases of bankruptcy, common stocks are the last to “get paid”. First is the bondholders, perferred shareholder and any other debt holders.
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With the preferred shares, it works a little different. They don’t call it preferred for nothing. The share is almost like a bond in regards to having a fixed dividend. It preforms as a fixed income security, but it’s not necessarily guaranteed.
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The reason I bring this up to you is because I’ve been looking at the stocks of two companies that have been in the news lately, you have heard of them. The two stocks I speak of is General Motors and Ford Motor company. I will break each one down separately.
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General Motors (NYSE:GM), the common shares were recently as low as $1.70 a couple of weeks ago and now it sits at $4.70 per share (a gain of almost 280%). That would have been a great payday for you if you were willing to take a chance and gamble on the stock. I didn’t take advantage of it because I don’t consider stock trading a form of gambling. The dividend for the common shares will be history once the “bailout” is approved. In regards to the preferred, it will continue to pay out it’s 37% yield per share at it’s current price of $4.25 per share. The payout will be on January 15th, 2009 for shareholders on record on December 26th, 2008. The symbol for General Motors preferred is (NYSE:GPM)
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Ford Motors company (NYSE:F) is also another company that has had their common shares beaten up to their low of $1.01 just a couple of weeks ago too. It now trades at $3.23 per share ( a gain of over 300%). Again another beautiful gain for anyone willing to take that chance too. As for the preferred shares of this company, it’s trading at $9.20 per share and returns a 35% yield per share. The symbol for Ford’s preferred is (NYSE:FPS). I do know that the payout is due within the next month.
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The reason I bring this up is for my readers who are willing to take on the risk of trading the common shares, then let me recommend that you sell now and move into the preferred stocks. After doing the research on these stocks I will also pick up some shares this week. In this coming payout, it will be a 17% yield or better, depending on my cost basis.
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I just hope that I’m not too late since it’s expected that Congress will approve the rescue plan and I’ll miss the jump in the price (however big it may be), which is something else I’ll be banking on for this trade to be ideal.
Do your research and happy trading.

Tags: Economy, Getting Started In The Stock Market, Government spending, Stock market for beginners, Stock trading

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