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A Little Life In The Stock Market Today

Today the stock market had a little life in it. Gaining 75 points to start off the week after a dismal performance during the last three weeks. The DOW has been doing outstanding holding on to this level of 16,000-17,000 points. The question is though…How much longer will this last???

There is too much turmoil going on in America as well as around the world for the DOW to even be at this level. So why is the DOW and the other indexes doing so well?

This is an election year which will play a factor in the performance of the markets. Politics plays one of the biggest roles in what happens on Wall Street. Laws that are written, wars that are waged along with the money being printed by the Federal Reserve can and will cause the DOW to skyrocket or plummet. With all the crap going on, I’m surprised the DOW isn’t at the 10,000 or lower range.

I read an article the other day written by someone who is an stock analyst claiming the DOW should be be around 10,000-11,000 range. The assistance coming from Ben Bernake and friends in the form of the never-ending-printing-machine have made our dollars weak which in return will cause the market to be higher than it should be. Last week the Federal Reserve announced the reduction of quantitative easing. In doing so, expect interest rates to start rising. If your were thinking of buying a home or more property for an investment, I suggest you do it real soon before rates go up.

If your are one of the many people who have gone back in the stock market, either in your 401K or you’re doing your own trading, I recommend pulling back, moving more of your investment into commodities like gold, silver and other hard assests or getting the hell out completely. There’s only so much stress on anything before it snaps.

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Buying Penny Stocks

Are penny stocks only worth a penny? Well in most cases not even that much, but on the other hand, some $100 stocks are not worth the investment either. I’ve seen yahoo shares go from .78 to $118, back to $4.85 and now 4 years later $23. Home Depot in Dec of 1999 hit $70 a share and now 8 years later it $21.

If your looking for information to learn how to buy stocks for beginners, here’s some that will help you out immensely. Buying a penny stock is just as hard as buying a Dow 30 stock, but the rewards are far greater for a $1.00 stock to grow 100%. It just has to go to $2.00, where as a $100 stock has to go to $200, which is a far greater feat. Most of the time, a $100 stock will have revenues of $2 or $3 billion for its share price. To double in one year, revenues will have to grow to $4 or $6 billion, where as a $1 or $2 stock might have revenues of $50-$100 million. It’s easy for them to grow revenue to 100 or 200 million in a year. This is why the small cap market outperforms the Dow every year.

Just remember that most every company out there was once a stock under $5.00. I have always said that there’s a stock going up over 100% every day in the stock market and if you do your DD’s (due diligence) you can be the one who finds it. Just don’t look for them in the mid – large cap stock. Penny and small cap stocks are where you will find them. Look at the earnings report and make sure they are increasing 50% quarter over quarter minimally and then check out the chart. Look at the volume to see if it has been rising steadily and see if they have been in a trading range for a 3 to 6 months period. The trend is your friend.

Once you see them breakout from that trading range – BUY! The chart will always tell you what to do before the news comes out. Most of the time one or two week after a breakout, the news will come out and push the stock higher. Remember, you want to be ahead of the herd not with them. If you try to follow the herd, it’s likely that you missed the big gains or you got in too late and you missed it all together. Always remember to sell and secure your profits. As Jim Cramer likes to say, “bears make money, bulls make money and pigs get slaughtered.

This is just some of what has to be done, so when you’re ready to start buying stock online, do your DD’s first.

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Gold Climbs Above $1600

Only three weeks ago I spoke about the price of gold falling below $1500 per ounce. What I said was if the economic woes continue even with all the hype of how our economy is improving, I expect gold prices to keep climbing. I also said that I don’t trust any government at this time.

Today gold prices climbed above $1600 after eleven straight days of climbing because of fears of the federal government will not be able to raise the debt ceiling. The precious metal hit an all time record high against the Euro and sterling. Gold has been strong ever since Europe has been trying to bail out Greece for the second time and to avoid the European debt crisis. Add to the fact that the Obama Administration and Congress have been unsuccessful in coming to an agreement to raising the debt ceiling.

If you didn’t think it could climb any higher, I would seriously take a look at the technical charts which seem to point to gold moving above $1700 as soon as this fall and many think a move to over $2000 per ounce isn’t too far fetched as it once was.

When you think about adjusting for inflation, gold is still not as high as it could be in relation to the price in 1980 near the end of the Carter Administration. As I said three weeks ago, I don’t have faith in the federal government to do the right thing and lower the spending and not to raise the debt ceiling. With that in mind, I still think that gold is a great investment at this point. I feel it will remain high until after next year’s election. If for some reason the government can put some sort of plan in motion to reduce the deficit, gold will take a plunge and a big one at that.

In the meantime, silver has also done well over the last three weeks when it closed at $33.59. It closed today at $40.27, topping the $40 mark for the first time since May. Silver has climbed more than 15% in just the last two weeks.

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Commodities: A Gift To My Children

If you’ve been reading this blog for any length of time, you know that I’m expecting to see the stock market take another plunge. So where are we to invest? Commodities, that’s where. Commodities like gold, silver other precious metals, oil, natural gas corn and sugar can not be printed in a few minutes or hours. It can not be manipulated as easily as any government currency. The Federal Reserve is printing money like they’re Kinko’s or something.

I’ve been building up a nest egg of commodities for sometime. It’s not something I’m doing because of the current situation of the U.S. economy (actually I’m am buying more than I’ve done in the past), I’m doing it for my children. My daughters are teenagers and soon enough they’ll be on their own looking to make it in this world. who knows what the world currency is going to look like in just a few short years. If the United States doesn’t do something now to solidify their financial sovereignty, who knows how things will be. Right now oil is traded in U.S. dollars and China and the United Emirates are discussing reducing their holdings in U.S. dollars and not using the dollar has a the way to trade oil.

So what should you be buying? Gold and silver are the best things at this moment that average investors could and should be investing in. Gold is trading this morning at $1,518 an ounce and silver is trading at $34.74 an ounce. I know you’ve heard the advertisments, seen the ads and listened to the stock news programs stating that we should be buying gold and silver. So have you been buying gold and silver? If you haven’t, remove your head from your butt and do so. Yes gold was trading at less than $1200 on ounce last year and silver was going for about $12 an ounce, but they’re going to be much higher next year so don’t waste time.

There’s a new book out from a man who retired at the age of 37 after making his money the old fashion way…he earned it. Jim Rogers worked as a young kid and a teenager, to investing his money in the markets. His new book, ‘A Gift to My Children A Father’s Lessons for Life and Investing’ helps us prepare our children for the trouble times that are coming in the near and the distant future. Jim discusses the troubled times ahead for the U.S. dollar, he actually believes it’s “doomed”. The book is a great source for teaching our children about investing and other life lessons they’ll need to survive in this world.

Click the book to view or purchase.





I’ve been showing my girls how to trade stocks, look into real estate investments and investing in precious metals. This book helps to bring the message home about how important it is for parents to teach their children how to prepare for the future. I feel that too many of the younger generation is not aware of how to be financially savvy. Especially since the public school system doesn’t have time to teach the students how to balance a checkbook, nevermind invest in themselves.

So pick up Jim Rogers’ book ‘A Gift to My Children A Father’s Lessons for Life and Investing’ at Amazon or any bookstore. You won’t be disappointed.

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So Where’s The Recovery?

Wall Street took a beating this week and from what I can see, it will only continue when the stock market opens on Monday. So where’s the recovery?

Let’s look how well the employment numbers looked for the month of May. According to the report, only 54,000 jobs were added to the private sector during the same period. The bad part about that is that for the employment rate to hold steady, it must add 150,000 jobs each month just to keep up with the population growth in the U.S. So obviously, there’s no recovery in the job market.

How about the housing market? Well from what I’ve seen coming out over this past week, it also doesn’t look good at all. In some areas of the United States, home prices have fallen to the levels of 2002. In other areas like Las Vagas, the home prices have fallen to the levels of 1999. Many feel that the average home price will continue to drop for the remainder of this year. So I guess we can rule out that industry for showing signs of recovery.

So why is it that the stock market has been climbing since it’s bottom back in March of 2009. We’ll I feel that there was some companies that had solid fundementals and balanced sheet to continue to grow in the trouble economy. Remember that the indicies really only show the strength of the markets, not necessarily the strength of the economy. Of course many investors and traders were not completely wiped out financially and were willing to keep buying and selling.

How long can this keep up? In my opinion, not for long. Congress isn’t doing what they need to do and the present Administration is spending like a drunken sailor (I know that’s not fair to say about drunken sailors since drunken sailors spend their own money). It was reported this week that if a decision isn’t made to raise the debt ceiling, Moody’s has stated that they will decide on how they are going to re-evaluate America’s credit rating. Figuring that both the democrats and the republicans can not agree on anything, we’re going to lose our current rating and that will send this country into an inflation tailspin.

So if you’re thinking of trading in the stock market, tread carefully and be aware of the day by day issues going on in Washington as well as on Wall Street.

Happy trading.

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The DOW Closes Above 12,000

With the DOW climbing 148 points today and closing at 12,040, many are wondering if it can sustain this level. The DOW hasn’t closed above the 12,00 level since June 2008. It’s been a long two and a half years to get back to this level, but are we out of the woods yet?

I’m no expert, but I will say that any average Joe can see that the economy has not recovered no matter what the “reports” say. I travel a lot and where ever I go, I see many establishments that closed in 2008 and to this day most of them are still vacant. I know in the county I live in, the unemployment rate is nearly 14% and the state’s level is “projected” at 10.1%. I say “projected” because who are they trying to fool with that report? How many people are no longer collecting benefits and are still unemployed? They’re no longer being counted which according to realistic estimates, puts the national rate some around 18%-19.5%.

What about the housing market? The average home prices are starting to stabilize, but no one is ready to get out there and start buying property again. A report was released this week showing that over 11% of the homes in America unoccupied and more people are looking to rent than to own.

One thing we can see from over the last two and a half years is which companies were strong enough to weather-out the storm. I’ve been able to see some small cap companies grow in value at a steady pace with expected pull-back from the profit takers, only to continue the climb up. There are others that I’ve recently discovered that look to be contenders in a couple of years.

For the last few months I’ve been sitting on the sidelines watching the market. I’m not confident with the markets, the economy or the government at this time. Yes I have missed some good gains in stocks that I was invested in, but I sleep better just sitting it out right now. I love the stock markets and will always be involved with it, so for now I’ve been looking at some short/long term (2-4years) small caps that I will be investing in soon enough. I’m just waiting for a healthy pull-back (6%-9%) at then I’ll make my trades.

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Dividend Stocks

The stock market has been a very bumpy ride for most investors, so much so that many of them are sitting on the sidelines. it’s a shame that they are doing it since there are other ways to making money than buying low and selling high. Dividend stocks are just another way to make money even when the stock market isn’t doing anything.

There are hundreds of companies that are traded on Wall Street that offer high dividend paying stocks for investors to take advantage of. What are dividends? Dividends are a way for a company to share the profit of the company with it’s shareholders. Many times a company has grown so much that they don’t need to put so much into research and development, so they will pass a portion of it to it’s shareholders on a quarterly basis (four times a year).

in doing so, an investor can make money even if the company’s stock price doesn’t change. Let’s say you buy shares in company XYZ for $100 per share and the company offers a 10% dividend. Which means that the company will give it shareholders $10 a year for each share you own. So four times a year you will receive $2.50 every three months for each share. After one year of owning the shares, your actual price per share is $90. If the price hasn’t moved over the same period, you are still up 10% on your investment. How could you go wrong with that? So where can you find stocks that pay dividends? When you do your research on a particular company, you will find the information in their chart overview.

There are also many different ETF’s that are built around this concept, but why pay a fee for something you can do yourself. Typically you can also do better than the ETF’s since you are able to get in and out easier than the big boys.

Be aware though that Washington and the present Administration is looking to raise capitol gains taxes which will include dividend payouts. Of course if it’s your IRA retirement account, it won’t affect you. Look into it for yourself to see if dividend stocks are right for you. it’s just another way to increase your profits. Espaecially when the stability of the markets are highly in question.

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Stock Market Roller-Coaster Ride

Here we go again. It looks like we’re in for another ride this week on Wall Street. The stock market lost over 500 points last week and on Monday, it gained 103 points. So what going on so far for this morning? Well the DOW opened flat, but was dropping fast as the opening minutes clicked by. Within twenty five minutes the DOW was down 180 points and since then has climbed it’s way back to only being down 36 points during it’s first forty five minutes into the trading day.

Either way you look at it, it’s going to be a wild ride for the rest of the year. I’m not confident on the condition of the stock markets and because of that, I’m sitting a lot of my money off to the side until the second dip happens sometime this year. We are not out of the woods yet and we are still in a lot of economic dangers in the near future.

Last night while watching Jim Cramer on Mad Money, I noticed that he is confident in the markets and sees some great things coming in the near future. The only thing I agree with him on is his opinion on investing in gold. Of course he didn’t say if you should own stocks in gold producing companies or in actually gold itself. My thoughts on that is that you should own gold coins and other gold items. Like I said, I don’t trust the condition of Wall Street and owning stocks in gold is not the same thing. Whatever you do, do your research into anything you’re going to invest in.

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Stock Market Volatility

Stock market volatility fluctuates all the time, some days more than others. Volatility in the markets grow as the gains increase along with those times when uncertainty rises.

Since the markets have risen as high as they did and the condition of the economy is still on shaky ground, I’m not surprised to see that the VIX (volatility index) jumped 20% in just one day. What does surprise me is the fact that it took so long for it to happen.

In the last fourteen months, the Dow Industrial Average (DJIA) has increased by nearly 80% and over 10% in the last three months. I’ve been saying for quite some time now about the fact that the DOW sitting at over 10,000 points has no real reason to be there. Of course many investors are still riding the wave as long as they can. Unfortunately many of them won’t see it coming when the markets take the next plunge.

Unemployment is at 12% (officially), but it is estimated to be at 17% since most people who were receiving unemployment benefits last year are no longer eligible. Many companies are holding off on hiring until they get a good look at the new tax laws that the present Administration has passed. Add on the fact that the foreclosures in the United States are not shrinking, instead they are holding steady in most areas.

The VIX is one of the indicators that should be watched on a regular basis as part of your stock market strategies. As the uncertainty in the markets rises, the VIX will climb. Many average investors lose money in the stock market as this happens because the price per share of most companies will rise and fall with large swings. If you are a veteran in trading stocks, most likely you’ve learned to read the VIX and play it accordingly.

For those who are not familiar with VIX, there are a few stock market books that will help you understand much better. In many of Jim Cramer books, you will find information about the volatility in the stock market and how to play it.

What happened to the stock market today?

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Economic Recovery?

The Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke stated today that the economic recovery is sustainable. Along with the news of retail sales are up in the last month, one would think that this is the time to get in on the stock market. Well before you do, you need to be aware of a few things first.

The stock market (Dow Jones Industrial Average) has reached a new twelve month high after climbing 12% over the last two months and over 40 % year-to-date. Those are some great impressive gains, but does that mean that the markets will continue on this upward path? Well that’s anyone’s guess.

The last time the Dow was at these levels along with the S&P sitting at 1200, was in September of 2008. You have to ask yourself, “What was the condition of the economy in September 2008?” I did some research into this issue and found that this might not be the time to invest in the stock market.

In Sept., 2008, unemployment was at 6.2%. The foreclosure rate hasn’t slowed down. It’s estimated that 1 in every 538 homes are in foreclosure as of march 2010. The Federal reserve has printed so much more U.S. currency that it’s not even funny.

My point being that you should be waiting for a healthy pull back (8%-10%) before investing any capital.
You also have to look into the future of the economy too. Economics believe that the unemployment rate will still be at 8.4% at the end of 2011. Home prices will remain at near flat levels for the next two years. They also expect the economy to only grow 3% in 2010.

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