The global macro trading system can work effectively for every trader. If you have an already established system that works for you, why not expand it to participate in global macro trading?
If you have already been an established day trader, have you considered gravitating into a market that has more options such as the entire planet? Similar to a doctor attempting to diagnose an ailment, you have to search and then search once again to reach the end result. At times, the doctor will prescribe medications that just don’t seem to work, and you go back to the doctor to try something different. Well, it is no different in the stock market. You may think you are on track and it fails, so you attempt something different up until you find something that works.
If you are a stock trader, you understand this methodology. You have your system tweaked to the point where you know how to check your price to earnings and then price to book. You also look at the return you will receive on your equity, right? The better the system you have built, the better protection you have in the market thus improving your risk to rewards. The stock market is not an easy business. Sometimes it becomes a matter of trial and error. Eventually, we are fortunate and then other times, we tend to lose. The more educated you are the better a risk to reward you will have.
The global macro trading market provides an edge as it is worldwide, which means you can trade any instrument using the strategy you have developed globally. That means your chances of locating the best investment are greater. This market has really made a tremendous comeback compared to the last couple of years of trading. This is because a lot of people were trading long and leveraged. The macro traders however were shorting housing and financials then going long and doing some real interesting trading in short treasuries and dabbling in the commodities market.
What this really means is the global macro trading market provides a lot of options to test a variety of strategies. So if you set up your strategies to build on a model that you wish to invest, in you could be a real winner. This is a specialized market and the person who is new to stock trading might want to educate themselves before becoming active. If you are an active day trader that utilizes the same stocks day in and day out, you might not have an interest in global macro trading. However, anyone else that wants a variety and has a need to venture into a new market with a high variety, then global macro trading might be for you.
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Yesterday the news came out that new home sales jumped 9.6% for the month of July. It was the fourth straight increase in sales. Sales rose to an annual rate of 433,000, up from June’s rate of 395,000. Many are saying that the bottom is definitely in and now is the time to buy, but is that really the case.
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Yes, sales are up more than 30% from the bottom in January, but nowhere near the peak of four years ago. Of course that’s was because of the inflated bubble that was created by the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac sub-prime loans.
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So does this really mean that the bottom is in and we can expect the economy to turn around? I doubt it. Why I think that is because of the fact that the numbers are (I feel) are mis-leading. Many of the new home sales that have been happening in the last month or so were first-time home buyers. That’s because of the government’s incentive plan for first-time homeowners who qualify for an $8000 tax credit. That in itself is misleading on the fact of it’s a tax credit, not a rebate. Which means of you don’t have enough of tax liability, you won’t be able to write off all of the $8000.
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What does that mean for the industry? Well, home builders saw a jump in their stock price today, but will it be able to maintain those levels? I doubt that too. mainly because when the program will be terminated at the end of November. I believe the market will dry up again with sales. As it is, some builders have already seen a dip in home sales. In Arizona, A.F. Sterling Homes stated that sales in July stalled because the builder couldn’t guarantee the homes would be completed in time to qualify. The industry (real estate agents and builders) are really leaning on Congress to extend the the credit on the grounds of the sales could reverse from their current trend. As a matter of fact, Randy Agron, the vice president of A.F. Sterling Homes was quoted as saying “The real estate market is really a fragile thing. It’s not the right time to take (the tax credit) away”.
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With that in mind, do you really think the bottom is in? It has been proven in the past that when the government gets involved with trying to “save” the economy, it actually extends it by not letting the free market follow it’s natural course. With this program as well as the financial bailouts and “Cash For Clunkers”, we have three major industries being manipulated within the American economy.
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All I can say is…hang on, it’s going to be a bumpy ride.
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It has finally been decided that the art of naked short-selling will be banned from now on, which is a good thing since that technique of trading is what caused the demise of Lehman Brothers and many other stocks of the financial sector.
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I’ve never really been a fan of short-selling any stock even though I’ve done a handful of times. Short selling is the idea of betting against the stock, expecting it to go down in value. A trader will borrow and then sell shares of a company, only to buy them back at a lower price to return them back to the entity that they borrowed them from. With naked short-selling, the trader doesn’t worry about borrowing the share before he sells them. At that point he/she has to look around for someone to borrow the shares from. In most cases there aren’t enough shares to go around, causing turmoil and wild swings in the stock price.
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Now the SEC has included a requirement that all brokers must buy or borrow the shares promptly to cover the short sale. The SEC is also considering several other ways to limit short selling. Let’s not forget that it was the SEC that removed the up-tick rules a few years ago.
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The up-tick rule refers to the price of a stock has to move up in price by at least a penny before anyone else can short the same stock. That helps avoid a runaway drop in the stock price.
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