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The End Of QE2-Quantitative Easing

Today, marks the end of quantitative easing part two. Quantitative easing (QE) is an unconventional monetary policy tool used by the Federal Reserve to stimulate the national economy when conventional monetary policy has become ineffective. Of course that doesn’t mean the there won’t be a QE3 and QE4. The policies of the Obama Administration have damaged our economy and I’m not surprised at the Federal Reserve for having to step in to try to save it. We’re in dire straits with the current economic situation, it’s hard to believe that we can turn things around in the next few years.

Watching the stock market in this past week would have others believe that we’re out of the woods and on the road to recovery. Instead what we’ve seen in the last four trading days is the smart money getting back into buying equities since the recent healthy pull back on the DOW. I’ve spoken about this before in detail of how when the markets or even good solid stocks pull back 8% from their recent high, you must “back up the truck” and load up for a strong rally that will be happening soon. Eight percent is a benchmark that I use to make decisions on when to jump into a stock or the overall market. Time and time again it has been useful and profitable for traders to follow this method.

If you’re new to investing in the stock market or have been around awhile, this is something you need to keep in your trading playbook. something else to keep in mind is when stocks or the markets move up 8%-10% in a short period, it’s time to unload some of your shares to keep the gains you just made. So far in the last four trading days, the DOW has gain nearly 4% from it recent low. Remember, pigs get slaughtered, so don’t be a pig and try to ride out the wave a little longer. Be happy with the gains you’ve made. Since emotions are not welcomed when trading stocks, don’t be mad or angry if you miss out on some profits because you jumped out too early. Stocks will always have a pull back and with the gains you made, you’ll have capital to trade another day.

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So Where’s The Recovery?

Wall Street took a beating this week and from what I can see, it will only continue when the stock market opens on Monday. So where’s the recovery?

Let’s look how well the employment numbers looked for the month of May. According to the report, only 54,000 jobs were added to the private sector during the same period. The bad part about that is that for the employment rate to hold steady, it must add 150,000 jobs each month just to keep up with the population growth in the U.S. So obviously, there’s no recovery in the job market.

How about the housing market? Well from what I’ve seen coming out over this past week, it also doesn’t look good at all. In some areas of the United States, home prices have fallen to the levels of 2002. In other areas like Las Vagas, the home prices have fallen to the levels of 1999. Many feel that the average home price will continue to drop for the remainder of this year. So I guess we can rule out that industry for showing signs of recovery.

So why is it that the stock market has been climbing since it’s bottom back in March of 2009. We’ll I feel that there was some companies that had solid fundementals and balanced sheet to continue to grow in the trouble economy. Remember that the indicies really only show the strength of the markets, not necessarily the strength of the economy. Of course many investors and traders were not completely wiped out financially and were willing to keep buying and selling.

How long can this keep up? In my opinion, not for long. Congress isn’t doing what they need to do and the present Administration is spending like a drunken sailor (I know that’s not fair to say about drunken sailors since drunken sailors spend their own money). It was reported this week that if a decision isn’t made to raise the debt ceiling, Moody’s has stated that they will decide on how they are going to re-evaluate America’s credit rating. Figuring that both the democrats and the republicans can not agree on anything, we’re going to lose our current rating and that will send this country into an inflation tailspin.

So if you’re thinking of trading in the stock market, tread carefully and be aware of the day by day issues going on in Washington as well as on Wall Street.

Happy trading.

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The DOW Closes Above 12,000

With the DOW climbing 148 points today and closing at 12,040, many are wondering if it can sustain this level. The DOW hasn’t closed above the 12,00 level since June 2008. It’s been a long two and a half years to get back to this level, but are we out of the woods yet?

I’m no expert, but I will say that any average Joe can see that the economy has not recovered no matter what the “reports” say. I travel a lot and where ever I go, I see many establishments that closed in 2008 and to this day most of them are still vacant. I know in the county I live in, the unemployment rate is nearly 14% and the state’s level is “projected” at 10.1%. I say “projected” because who are they trying to fool with that report? How many people are no longer collecting benefits and are still unemployed? They’re no longer being counted which according to realistic estimates, puts the national rate some around 18%-19.5%.

What about the housing market? The average home prices are starting to stabilize, but no one is ready to get out there and start buying property again. A report was released this week showing that over 11% of the homes in America unoccupied and more people are looking to rent than to own.

One thing we can see from over the last two and a half years is which companies were strong enough to weather-out the storm. I’ve been able to see some small cap companies grow in value at a steady pace with expected pull-back from the profit takers, only to continue the climb up. There are others that I’ve recently discovered that look to be contenders in a couple of years.

For the last few months I’ve been sitting on the sidelines watching the market. I’m not confident with the markets, the economy or the government at this time. Yes I have missed some good gains in stocks that I was invested in, but I sleep better just sitting it out right now. I love the stock markets and will always be involved with it, so for now I’ve been looking at some short/long term (2-4years) small caps that I will be investing in soon enough. I’m just waiting for a healthy pull-back (6%-9%) at then I’ll make my trades.

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Stock Market Info: Facebook Page

I just created a facebook page for Beating The Stock Market, and our network of investing sites. Check it out! If you have a stock market website, feel free to share your best articles and links. See you there!

Stock Market 101

Promote Your Page Too

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Investments

I’ve been looking at the different industries and investment vehicles that are out there for the average investors. Depending on which types of investments out there, it may or may not be the time to invest. How can one know if an investment is right? Taking your time and doing the research to find out if it will be a profitable one or not. The housing market, the stock market or any other investment you have to choose from can be profitable, but unless you look at the real numbers and study everything there is to know about the investment prior to putting your money into it, you can lose most (if not all) of your capitol.

Yes housing prices are way down from their peak in 2006-2007, but that doesn’t mean that all housing prices are right for the picking. You need to look at the condition as well as the area the house is in. In some part of the country, housing prices may never reach the prices of just a few years ago.

What about the stock market? I don’t trust the stock market at this time since there is no reason for the DOW to be at where it is at the moment. Every month poor reports are being released (consumer confidence, unemployment and retail sales) and the stock market seem to either gains or holds it’s ground. We are in a terrible economic time and to think that the stock market will continue to hold is risky. The economic current events look pretty scary. If you’re looking to invest in the stock market, make sure you do your research into the company before you buy any shares. It’s the only way to know what stocks to buy now.

In my opinion, gold is the answer right now. I don’t mean stocks that trade off of stocks, I’m referring to actual gold. Gold as always retained it’s value or has gone up during trouble times like these. So when you invest, invest wisely.

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Dividend Stocks

The stock market has been a very bumpy ride for most investors, so much so that many of them are sitting on the sidelines. it’s a shame that they are doing it since there are other ways to making money than buying low and selling high. Dividend stocks are just another way to make money even when the stock market isn’t doing anything.

There are hundreds of companies that are traded on Wall Street that offer high dividend paying stocks for investors to take advantage of. What are dividends? Dividends are a way for a company to share the profit of the company with it’s shareholders. Many times a company has grown so much that they don’t need to put so much into research and development, so they will pass a portion of it to it’s shareholders on a quarterly basis (four times a year).

in doing so, an investor can make money even if the company’s stock price doesn’t change. Let’s say you buy shares in company XYZ for $100 per share and the company offers a 10% dividend. Which means that the company will give it shareholders $10 a year for each share you own. So four times a year you will receive $2.50 every three months for each share. After one year of owning the shares, your actual price per share is $90. If the price hasn’t moved over the same period, you are still up 10% on your investment. How could you go wrong with that? So where can you find stocks that pay dividends? When you do your research on a particular company, you will find the information in their chart overview.

There are also many different ETF’s that are built around this concept, but why pay a fee for something you can do yourself. Typically you can also do better than the ETF’s since you are able to get in and out easier than the big boys.

Be aware though that Washington and the present Administration is looking to raise capitol gains taxes which will include dividend payouts. Of course if it’s your IRA retirement account, it won’t affect you. Look into it for yourself to see if dividend stocks are right for you. it’s just another way to increase your profits. Espaecially when the stability of the markets are highly in question.

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Contest: Win “12 Steps To A Worry Free Retir...

We’re having our very first (but not our last) contest here at Beating The Stock Market! 🙂

The contest starts right NOW and ends on Sunday, September 30 at 12:00 noon EST.

First, the prize….one winner will receive a copy of Kiplinger’s: 12 Steps To A Worry Free Retirement. 🙂

Actual customer review:
“This book lays out what you need to know about planning your retirement using easy to understand text and charts.”

Here’s how to enter:
All you need to do to enter is post about the contest and link to this post. Leave the link to where you posted about it in a comment here so we can keep track of the entries.

Good luck!

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